Synopsis
True, there’s no guessing President Trump’s next statement or move. But global markets now seem to sense that the US might find it tough to maintain its high pitch in the tariff war for much longer, resulting in some sort of a rally. As far as the Indian markets are concerned, there is a clear change in trend, with bulls in control on most days. Our assumption is that, with the Q4 earnings season being better in many cases, the chances are that bulls will be on a firmer footing. But do continue to be cautious and selective. In fact, that should guide all investing in emerging markets like India.
While corrections are still occurring, given the way things are panning out, it is clear that the underlying trend is currently bullish. Corrections are happening more because of profit-booking rather than any structural reason. Now this is very different from how things were in January and February when the over-valuations and lower growth made it a structural issue with the stock markets. With earnings better than expected in Q4, at least the
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